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Archive for July, 2006

Buying Ingersoll-Rand (IR)

Monday, July 31st, 2006

I am looking to buy Ingersoll-Rand. The price of this stock has been beaten down to its 52-week low.

“Ingersoll Rand is a leading diversified industrial company providing products, services and integrated solutions to industries ranging from transportation and manufacturing to food retailing, construction, and agriculture.”

Last friday, the company posted earnings of 313.5 million, up 10 percent from a year ago beating analyst’s predictions. It boosts its 2006 outlook EPS of $3.45 to $3.55 from its previous guidance of $3.42 and $3.52, yet the shares of the stock went down 1.2%. This is on a day when the market was strong with S&P and NASDAQ gaining 1.22% and 1.93% respectively. Advancers led decliners 4:1 on the NYSE and 3:1 on the NASDAQ.

I feel that the market is punishing shares of IR because it is a cyclical stock. They do not think it will perform well when the ecomony slows down. IR is diversified across its “five business lines of climate control, compact vehicle technology, construction, industrial and security” which will help it grow in a slowing economy.

IR’s ratio include:
P/E = 11.2
P/S = 1.08
PEG = .9
P/B = 1.94
LTD/E = .19
Yield 1.79

ROE = 19.27

Most of the ratios are below industry and sector averages.

I see this current weakness in Ingersoll-Rand (IR) as a good buying opportunity to accumulate a company with a strong balance sheet.

I placed a day limit order for IR today.

Different types of Investor Can Succeed

Saturday, July 29th, 2006

There are many ways to invest. People have made money speculating as well too. The thing to realize is that there are many ways to make money. You can use technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or both. Your strategy may be growth, value or even momentum style investing. Active investing may work as well as passive investing. There are professionals that succeed in many different ways. Finding the best way, or the strategy that makes you the most comfortable is what will make you succeed in the long run.

I’m a value investor because I believe that strategy will give me the best chance to reach my goals in the long run. I am comfortable with this strategy and will stick with in the long run. Even if the market value of my portfolio goes down a lot, I will stay disciplined and stick with my strategy.

Investors must realize that all strategies will not be popular all the time. Sometimes value investing does well, others times, they may lag the market for months, even years. Staying the course is what will make you successful in the long run. If I switched to a different strategy after a few months of poor performance, I will try many different strategies and fail even though they may all be successful strategies. There must be a long enough time frame set aside to let the strategy work.

I feel the best way to succeed is to stay the course with a strategy that you’re comfortable with and try to constantly improve your skills.

Switched over from Blogspot.

Saturday, July 29th, 2006

I finally made the move to switch over to my own domain name and hosting. I did a lot of research and I finally got this domain registered at namecheap.com. I’m hosting with asmallorange.com. So far so good. I just need to learn more about making websites. I’m using wordpress for this blog.

Creating a portfolio with small amount of money

Sunday, July 23rd, 2006

It is important for younger people to learn how to manage their own stock portfolio. By investing early, mistakes will cost less and the lessons learned will be very helpful for the future. Investing is a lifelong endeavor. Goals should be set to determine how to allocate capital appropriately. If a person finds out that they are not interested in investing or that they just plain suck at it, then they should get someone else to do it for them. They should know enough to pick someone who they are comfortable with and who is fully qualified. Or they can choose mutual funds themselves to create a diversified portfolio. I like investing, so I would never get someone to manage my money.

With such low commissions these days, almost anyone with a few thousand dollars can create their own diversified portfolio with minimal transaction costs. In the past, commission for a single trade were $100 + or a fixed amount of the trades. Investors needed to have a six figure portfolio in order to minimize the transaction costs. It made no sense in the past to invest $2,000 when the commission costs were $150. Things have changed and a lot of online brokerages have slashed their prices charging less than $10 dollars per trade.

The general rule of thumb is to limit transaction costs to 1% or less than the amount invested. An investor who wants to buy $1,000 worth of Microsoft (MSFT) should limit the commission cost to 10$ or less. I think that is still too high an amount for people with less money. Investors should limit their commission cost to .5% or less, so that transaction costs would be 1% on a round trip trade. Finding the right brokerage account is not that difficult and I will show you which ones are good.

Brokerages such as MB Trading make it possible for small time investors to create their own portfolio. MB Trading only charges 1 cent per share with a minimum of $1 per trade. I am currently using MB Trading and I could not be any happier. Their money market account even pays 4%, which is really high compared other brokerages. Cash that is brokerage account gets swept into the money market account. Most other brokerages such as Scottrade and Tradeking only pay around 1%. The only problem with this brokerage is that users must use their software to trade. This means that they cannot use the browser to trade.

Another newer discount brokerage is SogoInvest. They charge $3 for market and limit orders. I have never used them before, but the price is very reasonable. I may open the account if they have some type of bonus offer.

You can start an individual stock portfolio with about $5,000. I suggest opening a MB Trading account and slowly buy 10 stocks. If investors want some fixed income in their portfolio, they should buy some decent closed end fund (CEFs) to fill in the fixed portion of their portfolio.

Someone with $5,000 who wants to have 80% in equities and 20% in fixed income can buy 8 stocks ($500 per position) and 2 CEFs ($500). They should build their portfolio slowly by limiting their purchases to a few stocks at a time. There is no need to rush. Do some due diligence and research before buying. Once the investors have more money available to invest, they can slowly add to the portfolio each month.

$10,000 would be a better amount to start with. With this amount, an investor would have 16 stock positions and 2-4 CEFs for a 80/20 portfolio. If the person does not have this much, they can start off with a few positions and build their portfolio over time or they can even lower the amount they invest in each position to even $250.

If $5,000 is too much, you can buy a diversified mutual fund until enough money is saved up.

With a portfolio larger than $50,000, I would limit each of my positions to about 2-5%.

Due to rapid development of internet technology, growth in banking sector has increased a lot. People from all categories love to have their account in top class banks, like chase bank. In the race of online banking system, american bank is among leading ones, who are offering internet banking. In this competitive banking market citizens bank has gain good position, because of quality services and customer oriented banking. While on the other hand customers of citibank are showing high level of satisfaction. Now days several other banks like american home bank, Wells Fargo bank are getting popular, as they are providing quick services to solve the problem of the customers.

Join AAII lifetime membership for $290?

Saturday, July 22nd, 2006

I’m thinking about joining American Association of Individual Investor (AAII). The yearly membership is $29 or 53$ for the enhanced membership. Lifetime membership is $290. AAII is an independent nonprofit organization. There is good content on the website such as “What Steps should you take when your stock’s price fall.” I am not sure if I am going to use the website that often. There are a lot of good resources out there that are free. I may use AAII’s screens, but I have not used their screens yet. I am currently using Scottrade’s screener and MSN screener. Another problem is customized screens. It seems that investors can only choose from AAII’s preset screens.

For now, I may decide to join for 1 year for 29$ because there is a money back guarantee. If I like it, I may get the lifetime membership afterwards.

Does anyone else have a membership to AAII.com?

Emigrant Direct now 5.15%

Tuesday, July 18th, 2006

I just got a letter in the mail that says that Emigrant Direct will be raising it’s APY on July 28th to 5.15%. Now it is paying one of the highest rates online.

HSBC is 5.05%.
Citibank is 5%.
Virtualbank lowest rate is at 4.6%.

Now that online saving accounts/money market accounts are yielding 5%+, it’s not a bad place to put some money compared to yields a few years ago. Most of my money is in HSBC now with some still in Virtualbank.

What to do when the market is going down?

Friday, July 14th, 2006

My strategy is to buy when the market is going down. Buy on bad news, sell on good news. A lot of good securities are going down into my buy range. I sold some stocks for a quick profit to buy stocks that I thought were a better buy. I sold H&R Block(HRB) and Skywest(SKYW) a week ago to lock in some gains so that I would have funds available to buy stocks. More money is being added into my brokerage account because I see a lot of good stocks available to buy.

I know that the market will probably go down for awhile. I am fine with that. I expect stocks I buy to go down before they go up. I do not know when they will stop going down, but I buy them because I think they’re a good value. While waiting for the stocks to appreciate, I collect dividends from stocks. I am a bad market timer. Waiting to buy at the bottom is easy in hindsight, but almost impossible to do consistently.

My portfolio looks like it is bleeding on yahoo’s portfolio tracker.

Buy slowly, sell quickly for profits. There is not such thing as a bad profit. I am currently looking at Best Buys (BBY), FirstMerit Corp (FMER), PFE (Pfizer), Target (TGT), Fair Isaac(FIC), and Microsoft(MSFT).

Bought Schweser Audio CD

Friday, July 14th, 2006

I just finished reading through the 5 Schweser books. I bought the audio cds a few days ago. I am still waiting for the cds to come in the mail. I plan to use the audio cds on my bus ride to work. My plan right now is to make my own flash cards.

I am still looking to buy the Schweser video cd for level 1. Anyone selling video cds?

Keeping track of finances in Excel

Wednesday, July 5th, 2006

I currently use Yodlee to keep track of all of my accounts. Yodlee is an account aggregator that lets a user keep track of all their accounts in one page. It’s a very helpful tool to use because I can see all my bank account, credit cards, and investment accounts all in one page. Some people worry about the security of the site because Yodlee needs all the accounts user name and password log on information to access the accounts. If someone got a hold of the log on information for Yodlee, they may have access to all the other accounts listed on Yodlee. I’m not really worried about identity theft though.

I keep track of my portfolio at finance.yahoo.com. The portfolio tracker is simple and easy to use.

I use an excel spreadsheet to keep track of all my financial data. I downloaded MSN Money Add-In that enables excel to get stock quotes from the internet. I can update the value of my portfolio with the update button. I keep track of all my financial data on an excel spreadsheet. The spreadsheet has a lot of different tabs that are linked together to display my networth.
The tabs include:

Stocks Universe - This tab displays all the stocks that I currently watch. When they get into buying range. There are about 100 stocks. Data for the stocks include, Price/52 week high, latest price, price change, how many shares I should buy for position in my portfolio, and s&p dividend ranking. I update the list once in awhile. I keep a list of a few stocks above that are good candidates for a buy.

Current Holdings - This tab displays all the stocks and mutual funds that are in my portfolio. This tab displays the holding percentage of each position, cost basis, current market value, price/share, shares owned, current gain/loss %, and total gain/loss %,

Trade Records - Shows all the stocks I have bought and sold in the past and dividends received.
The average holding time is displayed and calculated using the days and today function. It displays the gain in working capital, market value/cost basis % difference, and market value/working capital % difference. It shows the cash flow of my portfolio too.

Credit Cards - Displays all the credit cards I have as well as the balances I owe for each card. It shows when each of my balance transfers end. Other data include credit card’s credit limit, the last time I tried to increase the credit limit, minimum payment amount, and the last payment date and amount. I currently pay about $750 a month over 6 cards that have balance transfers on them. I need to repay 2 citibank cards in October, so that will be the time when I will open a few more credit cards. Phone numbers for the credit cards are listed so I can contact them when needed.

Net Worth - Has all of my account balances. The accounts are divided up into different sections. The retirement/tax deferred accounts, taxable accounts, and cash accounts(online savings accounts). This spreadsheet takes data from other tabs. It takes the liabilities I owe from the credit card tab and investments from the current holdings tab. It then computes my net worth and change in networth every month. Below the networth data is my networth goal for the month. The internal rate of return for my portfolio is calculated using the IRR function.

Sit and Go - This tab held my texas holdem record for sit and gos. I stopped playing and took out all my money. I will start playing again if they give me some free money. I’m going to take this tab out soon.

Rules - This sheet displays some investing and trading rules.

Goals - Lists my short term and long term goals. Main one right now is just studying for the CFA.

I still need to change and modify my spreadsheet. It does the job, but I need to make the spreadsheet look nicer and add some more features once I can think of some more.